A PARAMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE SEISMIC INPUT IN NE BULGARIA (RUSSE SITE) DUE TO RECENT VRANCEA INTERMEDIATE - DEPTH EARTHQUAKES

M. KOUTEVA 1,2, GIULIANO F. PANZA 2,3, I. PASKALEVA 1, FABIO ROMANELLI 2

1 CLSMEE-BAS, Acad. G. Bonchev 3, 1113 Sofia, Bulgaria
2 DST-University of Trieste, E. Weiss 4, 34127 Trieste, Italy
3 The Abdus Salam ICTP, SAND Group, Strada Costiera 11, 34100 Trieste, Italy


An analytical deterministic technique, based on the simultaneous account of the fault mechanism and seismic wave propagation, has been applied to generate synthetic seismic signals at Russe, NE Bulgaria due to the strongest intermediate-depth Vrancea earthquakes, which occurred during the last century (1940, 1977, 1986 and 1990). Synthetic signals have been generated varying the seismic source location, the parameters describing the movement in the source, and the Vp/Vs ratio of the uppermost layer along the investigated profile. The obtained results show that all ground motion components give a significant contribution to the seismic loading and all the tensorial properties of the earthquake sources influence the shape and the amplitude of the seismic signal. The applied ground motion modelling approach has proved that the seismic input (also at remote distances) can be constructed via waveform modelling, considering all possible factors influencing the ground motion and enough earthquake scenarios.

Key words: intermediate-depth earthquakes, ground motion modelling, site response, modal summation, modes coupling.